Infectious Diseases and Therapy
○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Infectious Diseases and Therapy's content profile, based on 18 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
James-Pemberton, P.; Harper, D.; Wagerfield, P.; Watson, C.; Hervada, L.; Kohli, S.; Alder, S.; Shaw, A.
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A multiplex diagnostic test is evaluated for self-reported long COVID associated persistent symptoms and a poor recovery from a SARS-CoV-2 infection. A mass-standardised concentration of total antibodies (AC), high-quality (HQ) antibodies and percentage of HQ antibodies (HQ%) is assessed against a spectrum of spike proteins to the SARS-CoV-2 variants: Wuhan, , {delta}, and the Omicron variants BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.2.75, BA.5, CH.1.1, BQ.1.1 and XBB.1.5 in three cohorts. A cohort of control patients (n = 46) recovered (CC) and a cohort of self-declared long COVID patients (n = 113) (LCC). A nested Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, performed for the variant with lowest HQ concentration in the spectrum, produced an area under the curve and AUC = 0.61 (0.53-0.70) for the CC vs LCC cohorts. For the LCC cohort, the cut-off thresholds for AC = 0.8 mg/L, HQ = 1.5 mg/L and HQ% of 34% were determined, leading to a 71% sensitivity and 66% specificity derived by the Youden metric. The cohorts may be fully classified based on ROC and outlier analysis to give an incidence of persistent virus 62% (95% CI 52% - 71%), hyperimmune 12% (95% CI 7% - 20%) and unclassified, 26% (95% CI 18% - 35%). The overall diagnostic accuracy for both the hyper and hypo immune is 69%. All clinical interventions can now be tailored for the heterogenous long COVID patient cohort.
Mills, E. A.; Bingham, R.; Nijman, R. G.; Sriskandan, S.
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BackgroundAn upsurge in Streptococcus pyogenes infections 2022-2023 highlighted potential benefits of point-of-care tests (POCT) to support clinical pathways, prevent outbreaks, and optimise antibiotic use. ObjectivesWe conducted a pilot research study in a west London paediatric emergency department (ED) to determine whether a molecular POCT had potential to alter management in children who were also having a conventional throat swab taken for culture. MethodsChildren <16 years presenting to ED who had a throat swab requested by a clinician were invited to have a second swab taken for research purposes only. Clinical management was unaffected by the research swab result, which was processed using a molecular POCT that was not approved for use in the host NHS Trust. ResultsPrevalence of streptococcal infection was low during the study (May 2023-June 2025); swab positivity in symptomatic children was 12.8% (6/47). Overall, 38/49 (77.6%) participants who had throat swabs received antibiotics. Of those children recommended to receive antibiotics, 29/38 (76.3%) had a negative POCT. Mean time to reporting of positive throat swab culture results was 3.67 days (range 3-5 days) leading to occasional delay in treatment, although POCT identified positive results within minutes. ConclusionAntibiotic use was frequent and could be avoided or stopped by use of a rule out POCT in over three-quarters of children in the ED, if suspicion of S. pyogenes is the main driver for prescribing. POCT were easy to process and produced immediate results compared with culture, in theory enabling timely decision-making and avoiding treatment delay.
Hu, F.; Wei, J.; Muller-Pebody, B.; Hope, R.; Brown, C.; Carreira, H.; Demirjian, A.; Walker, A. S.; Eyre, D. W.
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Objectives: To identifiy risk factors for antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in seven pathogen-antimicrobial combinations in patients with cancer and cancer survivors. Methods: Using data from patients with recent or past cancer diagnostic codes in Oxfordshire, UK, we examined associations between 22 potential risk-factors and AMR in blood culture isolates, collected between 1-April-2015 and 31-March-2025. Results: Among 5,975 bacteraemias in 4,365 adults, we analysed 3,141 (52.6%) due to Enterobacterales and 620 (10.4%) due to Enterococcus faecalis/faecium in 2,752 patients. Fourteen risk-factors for antimicrobial-resistant bacteraemia were identified, varying across pathogen-antimicrobial combinations. Compared with no previous antimicrobial susceptibility test result, prior resistance to the same antibiotic in any culture in the last year was strongly associated with AMR across all pathogen-antimicrobial combinations (all p<=0.001). Prior antibiotic exposure and younger age were also positively associated with AMR in four and five combinations, respectively. Cancer type showed modest effects; lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies were associated with higher odds (vs colorectal cancer) of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-resistant Enterobacterales (aOR=2.07 95%CI 1.40-3.06) and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus bacteraemia (aOR=6.68, 1.21-36.91). Conclusions: Previous resistance was the greatest risk factor for bacteraemia with AMR in cancer patients and survivors, with prior antibiotic exposure and age also contributing. Lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies increased risk of resistance to specific antimicrobials. Keywords: antimicrobial resistance, bacteraemia, cancer, risk factors
Oliveira Roster, K. I.; Rönn, M. M.; Gorenburg, E. R.; Partl, D. K.; Anderegg, N.; Abel zur Wiesch, P.; Au, C.; Kouyos, R. D.; Martinez, F. P.; Low, N.; Grad, Y. H.
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Numerous factors may influence the optimal rollout of new gonococcal antibiotics. We compared eight rollout strategies using a gonorrhea transmission model and ranked strategies by the number of gonococcal infections and clinically useful antibiotic lifespan. Rankings were most sensitive to the starting ceftriaxone resistance prevalence and screening frequency.
Tiseo, K.; Dräger, S.; Santhosh Kumar, H.; Alkhazashvili, M.; Hammann, A.; Risch, P.; Willi, R.; Mkhatvari, T.; Fialova, C.; Adlhart, C.; Szabo, D.; Suknidze, M.; Patchkoria, I.; Broger, T.; Ivanova Reipold, E.; Varshanidze, K.; Osthoff, M.
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1.Etiological diagnosis of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) relies on sputum or bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL), which may be difficult to obtain or invasive. Exhaled breath aerosol (XBA) sampling offers a non-invasive alternative for pathogen detection. We evaluated the performance of the AveloMask, a face mask-based device designed to capture XBAs for molecular testing. In this prospective paired-sample study, hospitalized adults with pneumonia at three hospitals in Switzerland and Georgia provided an XBA sample using the AveloMask and a lower respiratory tract (LRT) specimen (sputum or BAL). XBA samples were analyzed by multiplex PCR using the Roche LightMix(R) panel and LRT samples were tested using the BioFire(R) FilmArray(R) Pneumonia Panel. Concordance between XBA and LRT samples was assessed using positive percent agreement (PPA), negative percent agreement (NPA), and overall percent agreement (OPA). Ninety-three participants were enrolled and 63 participants provided paired samples. AveloMask sampling identified the dominant pathogen (lowest Ct value in the LRT sample) in 40/47 LRT-positive cases (85.1%). Across all targets, PPA was 61% (95%CI, 50-72%), NPA was 100% (95%CI, 99-100%), and OPA was 95% (95% CI, 92-96%). PPA was higher for bacteria than for viruses and lower PPA was largely driven by reduced detection of low-abundance or co-infecting pathogens. In a subset analysis, AveloMask results showed substantial overlap with standard-of-care testing and could have supported antimicrobial de-escalation. Breath aerosol sampling using the AveloMask enabled non-invasive molecular detection of LRT pathogens in pneumonia cases and may complement conventional standard-of-care testing, particularly when sputum is unavailable.
Thornton, C. R.; Davies, G. E.
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Background: Mucormycosis is a rapidly progressive and often fatal invasive fungal infection caused by moulds in the order, Mucorales. Early diagnosis is essential for effective clinical management; however, conventional diagnostic approaches such as culture and histopathology are slow, insensitive, and require specialist mycological expertise. Although molecular methods are available for disease detection, they are not widely accessible. At present, no enzyme immunoassay (EIA) exists for the detection of mucormycosis. Methods: A murine IgG1 monoclonal antibody (mAb), FH12, was generated against extracellular polysaccharides (EPSs) produced by Mucorales pathogens during active growth. The antibody was characterised for specificity, epitope stability, and antigen localisation using ELISA, immunoblotting, and immunofluorescence techniques. The mAb was incorporated into a Sandwich-ELISA and evaluated using culture filtrates, purified EPSs spiked into human serum, and tissue homogenates from a patient with cutaneous mucormycosis caused by Lichtheimia ramosa. Results: mAb FH12 demonstrated pan-Mucorales specificity and no cross-reactivity with other clinically relevant yeasts and moulds. The epitope recognised by FH12 is periodate-insensitive and moderately heat-stable. The Sandwich-ELISA detected EPS antigens in human serum with limits of detection ranging from pg/mL to low ng/mL levels, and successfully identified the EPS biomarker in patient tissue homogenates. Conclusion: The FH12-based Sandwich-ELISA shows high sensitivity and specificity, and has the potential to be used as a laboratory-based adjunct diagnostic test for the detection of mucormycosis in humans.
Sidiq, Z.; Tyagi, P.; Anand, A.; Dwivedi, K. K.; Rajpal, S.; Chopra, K. K.
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Abstract Background Timely diagnosis of tuberculosis and drug resistance remains a cornerstone of effective disease control. Multiplex open molecular platforms capable of simultaneously detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBc), non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), and resistance to first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs could streamline diagnostic pathways. Methods We conducted a laboratory-based evaluation of two multiplex real-time PCR assays (MTBc/NTM R-Gene and MTB-RIF/INH R-Gene) using 300 well-characterized samples, including 150 MTBc-positive culture isolates (including rifampicin-resistant, isoniazid-resistant, and drug-susceptible strains) and 150 MTBc-negative samples (50 NTM isolates and 100 mycobacteria-negative specimens). Composite reference standards included culture, MPT64 antigen testing, and line probe assay corroborated by phenotypic drug susceptibility testing for resistance profiling, with NTM speciation performed using a dedicated line probe assay. DNA extraction was performed using the QIAamp DNA Mini Kit (QIAGEN, Germany), followed by amplification on a real-time PCR platform according to manufacturer instructions. The diagnostic performance was assessed against composite reference standards. Results The analytical performance for detecting MTBc demonstrated 100% sensitivity and specificity (150/150). NTM detection showed 70.0% sensitivity (35/50) and a specificity of 100%, highlighting limitations in coverage of NTM species. Rifampicin resistance was detected with a sensitivity of 96.0% (48/50) and specificity of 100%, whereas isoniazid resistance detection was 100% sensitive and specific (50/50). Agreement with established reference standards was high ({kappa}=0.76-1.00) within this analytical context. Interpretation This analytical validation demonstrates that multiplex open real-time PCR assays can accurately and simultaneously detect MTBc, NTM, and rifampicin and isoniazid resistance using culture isolates. While these platforms offer potential advantages in flexibility and expanded resistance profiling, additional studies on clinical diagnostic accuracy, cost-effectiveness analyses, and operational feasibility are required to determine their practical utility and programmatic impact in high-burden settings
Ho, M. Q.; Duong, T. B.; Nguyen, T. L. N.; Tri, N. S.; Bui, T.; Thai, T. T.; Muscatello, D. J.; Sunjaya, A. J.; Chen, S.; Nguyen, N. T.; Nguyen, T. M.; Nguyen, A. T. K.; Duong, C. M.
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The A(H1N1)pdm09 virus remains a major global health threat. This study examined the burden of ICU admission, mortality, and associated predictors among patients with A(H1N1)pdm09 pneumonia in a leading center for infectious diseases in Vietnam. Information on demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics, and outcomes was retrieved from medical records of adults admitted with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 during 2009-2019. Among 729 cases, 21.7% (158/729) developed pneumonia. Among 158 pneumonia cases, 36.7% (58/158) developed moderate-to-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and 15.2% (24/158) received invasive ventilation. ICU admission and mortality rates were 48.7% (77/158, 95%CI 41.1-56.5%) and 8.2% (13/158, 95%CI 4.9-13.6%), respectively. Predictors of ICU admission included being >60 years old (adjusted OR [AOR] 13.864, 95%CI 2.185-87.956, P=0.005), comorbidities (AOR 6.527, 95%CI 1.710-24.915, P=0.006), AST (AOR 1.013, 95%CI 1.001-1.025, P=0.029), and moderate-to-severe ARDS (AOR 14.027, 95%CI 4.220-46.627, P<0.001). Predictors of mortality were invasive ventilation (AOR 55.355, 95%CI 1.486-2062.375, P=0.030) and double-dose oseltamivir or combination therapy (AOR 32.625, 95%CI 1.594-667.661, P=0.024). In conclusion, mortality is not rare in A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. Monitoring of older patients and those with comorbidities, liver enzyme elevation, or moderate-to-severe ARDS is essential for the timely detection of complications requiring intensive care.
Gallardo Mejia, A.; Almeida, J.
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Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are among the most common infectious diseases worldwide, with Escherichia coli being the predominant uropathogen. The increasing prevalence of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing strains and their association with fluoroquinolone resistance pose a significant challenge to empirical therapy, particularly in community settings. The aim of this study was to determine the epidemiology and predictive factors associated with ESBL-producing E. coli and its concomitant fluoroquinolone resistance in community-acquired clinical isolates. A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted analyzing 244 clinical E. coli isolates. Demographic and microbiological data were collected, including age, sex, sample type, and antibiotic susceptibility. Associations between variables and ESBL production were assessed using Pearsons chi-squared test, and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Of the isolates, 165 (68%) were ESBL-producing. A significant association was observed between age group and ESBL production (p < 0.001), with the highest frequency in the 20-39 age group. Most ESBL-positive isolates were obtained from women (73%), although odds ratio (OR) analysis suggested a non-significant trend toward a higher probability in men (OR = 1.29; 95% CI: 0.72-2.31). High rates of fluoroquinolone resistance were identified among the ESBL-producing isolates, with 30% resistance to levofloxacin and 35% to ciprofloxacin (p < 0.001). Urine samples showed the highest concentration of ESBL-positive isolates, with a significant association between sample type and resistance (p < 0.001). The high prevalence of ESBL-producing E. coli and its concomitant resistance to fluoroquinolones highlight a critical challenge for the empirical treatment of urinary tract infections in Mexico, underscoring the need to strengthen antimicrobial use management and local surveillance strategies.
MacLean, E. L.; Ma, T. T.; Chuong, L. H.; Minh, K. H.; Hoddinott, G.; Pham, Y. N.; Tiep, H. T.; Nguyen, T.-A.; Fox, G.; Nguyen, N. T.
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Introduction Improved diagnostics are needed for people at risk of tuberculosis, especially adolescents. Tongue swab (TS) molecular testing has emerged as a promising strategy for tuberculosis diagnosis. We evaluated diagnostic accuracy and acceptability of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert) using TS samples for tuberculosis detection among adolescents. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study with consecutive recruitment in Vietnam. Adolescents aged 10-19 who were recommended to undergo investigation for tuberculosis and had not received tuberculosis treatment in the past years were eligible. Participants provided TS and sputum samples and completed a structured survey regarding sampling experiences. TS was tested on Xpert, with sputum tested on Xpert and liquid culture. We utilised a composite reference standard of a positive result on sputum Xpert or sputum culture to define disease status. Sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic yield were calculated for TS Xpert. Results From July to December 2025, we enrolled 225 adolescents from Can Tho and An Giang provinces in southern Vietnam. Fewer than half (96/225, 43%) the participants exhibited a tuberculosis -like symptom, and the majority (157/225, 70%) were close contacts of a person recently diagnosed with tuberculosis. TS were collected from all adolescents, while 116 (52%) could provide mucopurulent sputum. Tuberculosis prevalence was relatively low (12/225, 5.3%). TS Xpert sensitivity (90% CI) and specificity (90% CI) were 58.3% (35.6, 78.0) and 99.5% (97.9, 99.9), respectively. Diagnostic yield among all diagnosed was 58.3% (7/12). TS sampling was highly acceptable to adolescents; the short time and simplicity of collecting TS were considered favourably. Conclusions The sensitivity and diagnostic yield of TS Xpert was relatively low among adolescents recommended for tuberculosis investigation, which includes asymptomatic individuals who may not provide high quality sputum. Specificity was excellent, and everyone could provide a TS. TS high acceptability indicates it remains a promising sample for diagnostic algorithms.
Kamulegeya, R.; Nabatanzi, R.; Semugenze, D.; Mugala, F.; Takuwa, M.; Nasinghe, E.; Musinguzi, D.; Namiiro, S.; Katumba, A.; Ssengooba, W.; Nakatumba-Nabende, J.; Kivunike, F. N.; Kateete, D. P.
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of infectious disease mortality worldwide, and treatment failure contributes to ongoing transmission, drug resistance, and poor clinical outcomes. Artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches have attracted growing interest for predicting tuberculosis treatment outcomes, but the literature is heterogeneous and lacks a comprehensive synthesis. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies that developed or validated machine learning models to predict TB treatment failure. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase from January 2000 to October 2025. Studies were eligible if they developed, validated, or implemented an artificial intelligence or machine learning model for the prediction of TB treatment failure or a closely related poor outcome in patients receiving anti-TB treatment. Risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to pool area under the curve values, with subgroup analyses and meta-regression to explore heterogeneity. ResultsThirty-four studies were included in the systematic review, of which 19 reported area under the curve values suitable for meta-analysis (total participants, 100,790). Studies were published between 2014 and 2025, with 91% published from 2019 onward. Tree-based methods were the most common algorithm family (52.9%), and multimodal models integrating three or more data types were used in 41.2% of studies. The pooled area under the curve was 0.836 (95% confidence interval 0.799-0.868), with substantial heterogeneity (I{superscript 2} = 97.9%). In subgroup analyses, studies including HIV-positive participants showed lower discrimination (pooled area under the curve 0.748) compared to those excluding them (0.924). Only eight studies (23.5%) performed external validation, and only one study (2.9%) was rated as low risk of bias overall, primarily due to methodological concerns in the analysis domain. Eggers test suggested publication bias (p = 0.024). Major evidence gaps included underrepresentation of high-burden countries, HIV-affected populations, social determinants, pediatric TB, and extrapulmonary disease. ConclusionsMachine learning models for predicting TB treatment failure show promising discrimination but are not yet ready for routine clinical implementation. Performance varies substantially across populations and settings, and methodological limitations, including inadequate validation, poor calibration assessment, and high risk of bias, limit confidence in current estimates. Future research should prioritize rigorous external validation, calibration assessment, and development in underrepresented populations, particularly HIV-affected and high-burden settings. Author SummaryTB kills over a million people annually. While curable, treatment failure remains common and drives ongoing transmission and drug resistance. Researchers increasingly use artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict which patients will fail treatment, but it is unclear if these models are ready for clinical use. We reviewed 34 studies including nearly 1.1 million participants from 22 countries. On average, models correctly distinguished patients who would fail treatment from those who would not 84% of the time, a performance generally considered good. However, this average hid enormous variation. Models developed in populations including HIV-positive people performed substantially worse, suggesting prediction is harder with HIV co-infection. Worryingly, only one study used high-quality methods; 97% had serious flaws in handling missing data, checking calibration, or testing in new populations. Only eight studies validated their models in different settings. To conclude, we found that machine learning is promising in predicting TB treatment failure, but it is not ready for clinical use. Researchers should prioritize validation in high-burden settings, include social determinants, and improve methodological rigor before these tools can help patients.
Murakami, M.; Ohtake, F.
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While vaccination conflicts have become apparent, physicians' attitudes toward those with differing views remain unclear. Through an online survey of 492 physicians and 5,252 members of the general public in Japan in February 2026, we investigated attitudes toward four vaccines (influenza, measles, HPV, and COVID-19). Intergroup bias was assessed as ingroup minus outgroup attitudes using a feeling thermometer. Multilevel regression examined associations with agreement group and physician status. Intergroup bias was significantly positive in both agreement and disagreement groups across all vaccine types, and was higher in the agreement group. Physicians exhibited higher intergroup bias than the general public. These findings indicate that vaccination conflict is bidirectional: physicians, often viewed as targets of hostility from vaccine-hesitant individuals, themselves exhibit greater intergroup bias toward those with opposing views. Interventions to raise physicians' awareness of their own bias, alongside communication strategies for vaccine-hesitant individuals, are needed.
Chen, B.; Zambrana, J. V.; Shotwell, A.; Sanchez, N.; Plazaola, M.; Ojeda, S.; Lopez, R.; Stadlbauer, D.; Kuan, G.; Balmaseda, A.; Krammer, F.; Gordon, A.
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Background: Although the hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) titer remains the gold standard correlate of protection against influenza, it does not fully capture the broader antibody responses that contribute to immunity. Methods: We analyzed immune responses in paired pre-infection and convalescent sera from 306 RT-PCR-confirmed A/H3N2 infections from two household studies (2014-18) in Managua, Nicaragua. Antibody responses were measured by HAI and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) against full-length hemagglutinin (HA), the HA stalk, and neuraminidase (NA). Participants were classified as HAI responders ([≥]4-fold HAI rise), alternate responders (no HAI rise but [≥]4-fold boost in [≥]1 ELISA), or no-response individuals (no [≥]4-fold rise in any assay). We compared demographic, clinical, and pre-infection antibody characteristics across these groups. We also analyzed predictors of an NA response. Results: Overall, 77% of participants had HAI seroconversion or a 4-fold rise. Among the 23% HAI non-responders, 62% had alternate antibody responses. No-response individuals had the highest pre-infection HAI and full-length HA titers (p < 0.0001), the lowest viral loads, and the fewest fever or influenza like illness (ILI) symptoms (p < 0.01). An NA response was more common among symptomatic individuals (p = 0.0483) and those with low or high baseline NA titers. Conclusions: High baseline HAI titers can limit detectable 4-fold rises and are associated with milder illness. Evaluating additional immune responses may capture a more complete picture of the host response to infection, thereby improving surveillance and informing vaccine development. Keywords: Influenza A/H3N2; Hemagglutination inhibition (HAI); Neuraminidase antibodies; symptomatic vs asymptomatic infection; correlates of protection.
Conteh, B.; Galagan, S. R.; Badji, H.; Secka, O.; Bar, B. T.; Rao, S. I.; Atlas, H.; Omore, R.; Ochieng, J. B.; Tapia, M.; Cornick, J.; Cunliffe, N.; Zegarra Paredes, L. F.; Colston, J.; Islam, M. T.; Mosharraf, M. P.; Qamar, F. N.; Fatima, I.; Pavlinac, P. B.; Hossain, M. J.
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Globally, respiratory tract infections (RTI) are the main cause of morbidity, and in Low-middle-income countries (LMICs) RTI including pneumonia are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in children <5 years. Diarrheal illness increases RTI risk in young children through micronutrient depletion, and immune stress, yet data on post-diarrhea RTI burden in LMICs are limited. We determined the prevalence and risk factors of RTI within three months following medically-attended diarrhea (MAD) in children aged 6-35 months enrolled in seven EFGH country sites in Asia, Africa and South America. The EFGH study prospectively enrolled children aged 6-35 months with MAD in selected health facilities during a 24-month period from 2022 to 2024 and followed them for three months. RTI was defined as cough or difficulty breathing and the presence of one of the following symptoms at any scheduled or unscheduled visit during follow-up: stridor; fast-breathing; oxygen saturation <90%; or chest indrawing. The period prevalence and 95% confidence intervals of RTI were calculated, and correlates of RTI were assessed using modified-Poisson regression. From June 2022 to August 2024, 9,476 children aged 6-35 months presenting with MAD in the EFGH study sites were screened: 9,116 (96.2%) included in the current study. Nearly half were female (46.7%), and median age was 15 months. Overall, 48.5% received all age-appropriate vaccines, and 87.6% received the pneumococcal vaccine, with significant variation across countries. Nearly one-quarter of children were stunted, 17.2% wasted, and 21.9% underweight. RTI occurred in 3.8% of children during the three-month follow-up, mostly within the first month. Higher prevalence of RTI occurred among children aged 12-23 months (8.7%), those undernourished (16.1%), unvaccinated (4.0%) or living in poor sanitation settings (4.1%). While children who received all age-appropriate or pneumococcal vaccinations had a lower crude prevalence of RTI, these associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for age, sex and study site. RTI was infrequently observed in the three months following MAD presentation, with significant variability by site and with the highest prevalence in Malawi. RTI risk was highest in 12-23-month-olds and among children with undernutrition, and those living in poor sanitation conditions.
Sun, S.; Cai, C. X.; Fan, R.; You, S.; Tran, D.; Rao, P. K.; Suchard, M. A.; Wang, Y.; Lee, C. S.; Lee, A. Y.; Zhang, L.
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Multimodal learning has the potential to improve clinical prediction by integrating complementary data sources, but the incremental value of imaging beyond structured electronic health record (EHR) data remains unclear in real-world settings. We developed a multimodal survival modeling framework integrating optical coherence tomography (OCT) and EHR data to predict time to visual improvement in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME), and evaluated how different ophthalmic foundation model representations contribute to prognostic performance. In a retrospective cohort of 973 patients (1,450 eyes) receiving anti-vascular endothelial growth factor therapy, we compared multimodal models combining 22,227 EHR variables with 196,402 OCT images, with OCT embeddings derived from three ophthalmic foundation models (RETFound, EyeCLIP, and VisionFM). The EHR-only model showed minimal prognostic discrimination (C-index 0.50 [95% CI, 0.45-0.55]). Incorporating OCT improved performance, with the magnitude of improvement depending on the representation. EHR+RETFound achieved the strongest performance (C-index 0.59 [0.54-0.65]), followed by EHR+EyeCLIP (0.57 [0.52-0.62]) and EHR+VisionFM (0.56 [0.51-0.61]). Multimodal models, particularly EHR+RETFound, demonstrated improved risk stratification with clearer separation of Kaplan-Meier curves. Partial information decomposition revealed that prognostic information was dominated by modality-specific contributions, with OCT and EHR providing largely distinct signals and minimal shared information. The magnitude of OCT-specific contribution varied across foundation models and aligned with observed performance differences. These findings indicate that OCT provides complementary prognostic value beyond structured clinical data, but gains are modest and depend strongly on representation choice. Our results highlight both the promise of multimodal modeling for personalized prognosis and the need for rigorous, context-specific evaluation of foundation models in real-world clinical settings.
Chauquet, S.; Jiang, J.-C.; Barker, L. F.; Hunter, Z. L.; Singh, G.; Wray, N. R.; McRae, A. F.; Shah, S.
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Drug targets supported by human genetic evidence have significantly higher approval rates, making genome-wide association studies a valuable resource for drug candidate prioritisation. Transcriptome-wide association study signature-matching is an emerging in silico approach that integrates GWAS data with expression quantitative trait loci to generate a disease gene expression signature, which is then compared against drug perturbation databases such as the Connectivity Map. Despite recent adoption, there is no consensus on optimal methodology. Here, we systematically benchmark key parameters, including TWAS method, eQTL tissue model, similarity metric, gene set size, and CMap cell line, using LDL cholesterol, familial combined hyperlipidemia, and asthma as proof-of-concept traits. We demonstrate that while TWAS signature-matching can successfully prioritise known first-line treatments, performance is highly sensitive to parameter choice; for instance, the selection of the cell line used for drug signatures alone can dramatically alter drug prioritisation. Based on these findings, we propose a best-practice framework for robust, genetically-informed drug prioritisation using TWAS signature-matching.
Gunnarsson, C.; Ellegard, R.; Ahsberg, J.; huda, s.; Andersson, J.; Dworeck, C. F.; Glaser, N.; Erlinge, D.; Loghman, H.; Johnston, N.; Mannila, M.; Pagonis, C.; Ravn-Fischer, A.; Rydberg, E.; Welen Schef, K.; Tornvall, P.; Sederholm Lawesson, S.; Swahn, E. E.
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Abstract Background Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is a well-recognised cause of acute coronary syndrome particularly among women without conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Increasing evidence indicates a genetic contribution; however, the underlying genetic architecture of SCAD remains insufficiently understood. Objective The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of rare variants in previously reported SCAD associated genes and to explore the potential presence of novel genetic alterations in well-characterised Swedish patients with SCAD. Methods The study comprised 201 patients enrolled in SweSCAD, a national project examining the clinical characteristics, aetiology, and outcomes of SCAD. All individuals had a confirmed diagnosis based on invasive coronary angiography. Comprehensive exome sequencing was performed to identify rare variants contributing to disease susceptibility. Results Genetic variants that have been associated with SCAD according to current clinical genetics practice for variant reporting were identified in approximately 4 % of patients. In addition, rare potentially relevant variants were detected in almost 60 % of patients in genes associated with vascular integrity and vascular remodelling. Conclusion This study supports SCAD as a genetically complex arteriopathy, driven by rare high?impact variants together with broader polygenic susceptibility. Variants in collagen, vascular extracellular matrix, and oestrogen?responsive pathways provide biologically plausible links to female?predominant disease. Although the diagnostic yield of clearly actionable variants is modest, these findings support broader genomic evaluation beyond overt syndromic presentations and highlight the need for larger integrative genomic and functional studies to refine risk stratification and management.
Park, J.; Hwang, I.-C.; Kim, H.-K.; Bae, N. Y.; Lim, J.; Kwak, S.; Bak, M.; Choi, H.-M.; Park, J.-B.; Yoon, Y. E.; Lee, S. P.; Kim, Y.-J.; Cho, G.-Y.
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Aims: Assessment of treatment response in HFrEF has largely relied on left ventricular (LV)-centric parameters, yet the left atrium (LA) plays a central role in modulating LV filling and reflects the cumulative hemodynamic burden. Whether discordant recovery between LV and LA function carries distinct prognostic implications in patients treated with ARNI-based therapy remains unknown. Methods and results: From the multicenter STRATS-HF-ARNI registry, 1,182 patients with HFrEF who underwent serial echocardiography at baseline and one-year follow-up were included. Patients were classified into four strain recovery phenotypes according to the direction of change in LVGLS and LASr at one year: Group A, concordant recovery (57.4%); Group B, discordant atrial non-recovery (11.2%); Group C, discordant ventricular non-recovery (15.6%); and Group D, concordant non-recovery (16.0%). Clinical outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and HF hospitalization. Despite achieving LV functional improvement, Group B exhibited persistent LASr deterioration, accompanied by less favorable hemodynamic trajectories compared with Group A. On multivariable Cox regression, Group B was associated with significantly higher risks of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60-7.79) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 5.68, 95% CI 1.91-16.92), comparable to Group D. Group C demonstrated higher HF hospitalization risk (aHR 2.25, 95% CI 1.31-3.86). The adverse prognostic impact of discordant atrial non-recovery was consistently observed across subgroups stratified by baseline LVGLS and LASr levels. Conclusion: In HFrEF patients treated with ARNI-based therapy, persistent LA dysfunction despite LV functional improvement identifies a high-risk phenotype comparable to concordant non-recovery. These findings suggest that concurrent assessment of LV and LA strain may provide incremental prognostic value beyond LV-centric metrics alone.
Di Somma, S.; Gervais, R.; Bains, M.; Carter-Williams, S.; Messner, S.; Onsongo, N.
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Background: Chronic conditions such as hypertension can significantly disrupt daily life and emotional wellbeing. The interaction between patients' perceptions, adherence to antihypertensive medication and quality of life (QoL) remains underexplored outside structured clinical settings. Objectives: To capture unprompted patient perspectives and assess whether hypertension affects QoL and to investigate if patient reported experiences are associated with self-reported antihypertensive medication adherence. Methods: Social media listening (SML) study analyzing 86,368 anonymized posts from individuals with hypertension in 12 countries, collected between January 2022 and May 2024. Posts from 11 countries (n=81,368) were analyzed using artificial intelligence-enabled natural language processing. Posts from China (n=5,000) were analyzed separately using a harmonized framework. Quantitative and qualitative methods assessed variations by country, age, and gender, and associations between emotional expression and antihypertensive medication adherence. Results: Across the 11-country core sample, 45% of posts mentioned at least one QoL impact, most commonly worry/anxiety (11%). Impacts varied across countries. Among 8,096 posts with age identified, individuals <40 years reported emotional balance impacts in 28% of posts versus 22% among those aged 40+. Work/Education impacts were mentioned in 17% of posts by those <40 years vs 12% in 40+. Among 7968 posts explicitly referencing adherence, expressed worry was associated with stricter adherence (62% association score), as were structured routines (79% score), home monitoring (77%), dietary changes (77%), and exercise (71%). In contrast, sadness/depression was associated with inconsistent adherence (71%), as were forgetfulness (79%), side effects (73%), and cost/insurance concerns (65%). Conclusions: These results emphasize the importance of the psychological and emotional impact of hypertension, including on adherence to medication regimens, reinforcing the value of a holistic approach to patient care.
Howard, F. M.; Li, A.; Kochanny, S.; Sullivan, M.; Flores, E. M.; Dolezal, J.; Khramtsova, G.; Hassan, S.; Medenwald, R.; Saha, P.; Fan, C.; McCart, L.; Watson, M.; Teras, L. R.; Bodelon, C.; Patel, A. V.; Symmans, W. F.; Partridge, A.; Carey, L.; Olopade, O. I.; Stover, D.; Perou, C.; Yao, K.; Pearson, A. T.; Huo, D.
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Purpose: To test whether histology-derived gene-expression signatures from routine hematoxylin and eosin slides are prognostic for recurrence and predictive of chemotherapy benefit in early breast cancer. Methods: We conducted a multi-cohort study including CALGB 9344 (anthracycline +/- paclitaxel), CALGB 9741 (standard vs dose-dense chemotherapy), a pooled Chicago real-world cohort, and the American Cancer Society (ACS) Cancer Prevention Studies-II and -3. Whole-slide images were processed with a previously described pipeline to generate 61 histology-derived signatures per patient. The primary endpoint was distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI), except in ACS, where breast cancer-specific survival was used. Secondary endpoints include distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) and overall survival. The most prognostic signature in CALGB 9344, selected by Harrell's C-index, was evaluated in additional cohorts. Signature-treatment interaction was assessed by likelihood-ratio tests. Multivariable Cox models incorporating age, tumor size, nodal status, estrogen/progesterone receptor status, and signature were fit in CALGB 9344 to improve risk stratification. Results: A total of 7,170 patients were included across four cohorts. The top histology-derived signature in CALGB 9344 showed strong prognostic performance for 5-year DRFI (C-index 0.63) and performed well across validation cohorts (C-index 0.60, 0.70, and 0.62 in CALGB 9741, Chicago, and ACS, respectively). The strongest predictive signal for treatment benefit was observed for DRFS. High-risk cases identified by the signature demonstrated greater benefit from taxane in CALGB 9344 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.76 for DRFS, 95% CI 0.66-0.88; interaction p=0.028), from dose-dense chemotherapy in CALGB 9741 (aHR 0.69, 95% CI 0.56-0.85; interaction p=0.039), and differential chemotherapy benefit in the Chicago cohort (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.59-1.21; interaction p=0.009). Combined clinical-histology models improved risk stratification and identified low-risk groups with a 2%-10% risk of distant recurrence or breast cancer death. Conclusion: Histology-derived signatures from H&E images are broadly prognostic and, unlike clinical factors, may predict chemotherapy benefit.